20 (1): Paired Perspectives on Global Change

This newsletter features paired perspectives that address the present and the past as two sides of the same coin, seeking to provide a window into the future. It also provides information on recently held meetings and program news.

Access individual html and pdf articles further below.

The full magazine is available in the following formats:

> High resolution pdf (47.5 MB)
> Low resolution pdf (15 MB)
> Access an interactive PDF via the online publication platform Issuu

Extras

> Full reference list
> All figures (57.5 MB ppt)

Individual Newsletter Articles

Announcements

 > Front Cover
 > Inside PAGES [p.2]
 > Eulogy: Mohammed Umer Mohammed [p.3]

Program News

 > Ocean2k Working group – Call for participation [p.4]
 > Scientific Ocean Drilling: Voyage of Discovery beyond 2013 [p.5]
 > SCOR/IGBP working group on modern planktonic foraminifera kicked off [p.6]

Editorial

 > Harnessing the past and the present in the service of the future [p.7]
N.R Bondre and T. Kiefer 

Science Highlights

Earth System models: How well do Earth system models simulate the dynamics of global change?
 > Present [p.8]
T. Lenton  
 > Past [p.9]
M. Kageyama 

Climate sensitivity: How sensitive is Earth’s climate to CO2?
 > Present [p.10]
M. Collins and D. Long
 > Past [p.11]
G.A. Schmidt

Carbon cycle dynamics: How are major carbon sinks and sources varying with global change?
 > Present [p.12]
D. Schimel 
 > Past [p.13]
F. Joos

Ocean circulation: Does large-scale ocean overturning circulation vary with climate change?
 > Present [p.14]
T. Kanzow and M. Visbeck
 > Past [p.15]
L. Skinner

Marine nutrient cycling: How will the ocean’s capacity of biological carbon pumping vary?
 > Present [p.16]
C. Lancelot
 > Past [p.17]
A. Schmittner

Arctic sea ice: When will the Arctic Ocean become ice-free and what will be the effects? 
 > Present [p.18]
M.C. Serreze and J.C. Stroeve
 > Past [p.19]
L. Polyak

Aerosols and climate: How sensitive is earth’s climate to atmospheric aerosols?
 > Present [p.20]
S. Albani and N. Mahowald
 > Past [p.21]
A. Ganopolski

Land cover change: To what degree does human land cover dynamics affect climate change?
 > Present [p.22]
B. van den Hurk, S.I. Seneviratne and L. Battle-Bayer
 > Past [p.23]
J.O. Kaplan

Fire: Are we facing an increase in wildfires?
 > Present [p.24]
A.L. Westerling
 > Past [p.25]
S.P. Harrison and P.J. Bartlein

Monsoon climate: Will summer rain increase or decrease in monsoon regions?
 > Present [p.26]
B. Wang
 > Past [p.27]
H. Cheng, A. Sinha and S.M. Colman

El Niño-Southern Oscillation: What is the outlook for ENSO?
 > Present [p.28]
 A. Clement
 > Past [p.29]
 J. Emile-Geay

Sea level rise: How much and how fast will sea level rise over the coming centuries?
 > Present [p.30]
 A. Cazenave
 > Past [p.31]
M. Siddall and D. Pollard

Hurricanes and Typhoons: Will tropical cyclones become stronger and more frequent?
 > Present [p.32]
T.R. Knutson, I.M. Held and G.A. Vecchi
 > Past [p.33]
P. Lane and J.P. Donnelly

Vulnerability of coastlines: How do environment changes affect coastlines and river deltas?
 > Present [p.34] 
J. Syvitski
 > Past [p.35]
E. Leorri and D. Mallinson

Ocean Acidification: How will ongoing ocean acidification affect marine life?
 > Present [p.36]   
J.P. Gattuso
 > Past [p.37]
E. Thomas

Water resources: How severe will freshwater shortages be on a regional scale?
 > Present [p.38]
R. Harding
 > Past [p.39]
E.R. Cook

Ecosystems: How do ecosystems and associated services respond to climate change?
 > Present [p.40]  
S. Lavorel
 > Past [p.41]
S.T. Jackson

Abrupt changes: To what extent are tipping points a concern in coping with global change?
 > Present [p.42]
D. Lemoine
 > Past [p.43]
D. Dahl-Jensen

Open Science Highlights

 > Is there a global Holocene climate mode? [p.44-45]
H. Wanner and S. Brönnimann

Workshop Reports

 > 2nd PAGES 2k Network Meeting: Review of status and plans for synthesis [p.46]
 > 1st Workshop of the PAGES Antarctica2k Working Group [p.47]
 > The nitrogen cycle in the ocean, past and present [p.48]
 > Open PHAROS workshop on "Sediment and carbon fluxes under human impact and climate change" [p.49]
 > Ice sheet modeling, sea level and isostasy [p.50]
 > Tropical Climate Variability with a focus on Last Millennium, Mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum [p.51-52]
 > North American Dendroclimatic Data: Compilation, Characterization, and Spatiotemporal Analysis [p.52]
 > 3rd Polar Marine Diatom Taxonomy and Ecology Workshop [p.53-54]
 > Climate change in the Carpathian-Balkan region during the Late Pleistocene and Holocene [p.54]
 > International conference of young scientists “Land-Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions in the Changing World” [p.55]