Thresholds, tipping points and multiple equilibria in the Earth system

This activity will synthesize the latest insights into the existence (or lack thereof) of multiple equilibria in components of the Earth system (such as ocean circulation, ice sheets, or marine and terrestrial ecosystems).

Using paleo-evidence, as well as (transient) climate modeling, the PAGES community will develop strategies to detect and diagnose state changes and to assess the risk of them happening in the future.

Contact

Paul Valdes (University of Bristol, UK)
Aixue Hu (NCAR, Boulder, USA)

Publications

Access the special issue of Past Global Changes Magazine, dedicated to "Tipping Points" (vol.24, no.1, 2016), here.

Access the Nature Geoscience publication by Brovkin et al. (2021) that resulted from the first workshop in November 2018 here.

First workshop - November 2018

The IAs first workshop, organized in conjunction with AIMES, was held from 14-16 November 2018 in Hamburg, Germany. All details here.